Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#155
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#121
Pace71.2#143
Improvement+2.3#82

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#110
First Shot+2.2#113
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#165
Layup/Dunks-1.1#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#79
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement-0.2#186

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#214
First Shot-1.0#201
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#252
Layups/Dunks-0.2#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#116
Freethrows-2.1#308
Improvement+2.5#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2015 122   Green Bay W 103-90 53%     1 - 0 +13.0 +9.7 +0.8
  Nov 20, 2015 5   @ Villanova L 51-86 4%     1 - 1 -13.2 -9.1 -6.0
  Nov 22, 2015 55   @ Georgia Tech W 69-68 13%     2 - 1 +13.7 +10.5 +3.3
  Nov 24, 2015 299   @ Charleston Southern L 76-77 74%     2 - 2 -7.1 +3.8 -10.9
  Nov 28, 2015 87   UNC Wilmington L 73-94 39%     2 - 3 -17.4 -6.9 -8.1
  Dec 02, 2015 197   @ Tennessee Tech L 61-63 50%     2 - 4 -1.2 -18.9 +17.7
  Dec 15, 2015 125   @ UNC Asheville L 64-84 32%     2 - 5 -14.4 -3.8 -10.2
  Dec 18, 2015 201   Eastern Kentucky W 87-81 72%     3 - 5 +0.5 +2.2 -2.2
  Dec 22, 2015 91   @ Tennessee L 67-76 22%     3 - 6 -0.1 -5.9 +6.3
  Dec 30, 2015 144   Morehead St. W 75-72 59%     4 - 6 +1.4 +1.8 -0.5
  Jan 02, 2016 194   @ Western Carolina W 82-66 49%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +16.9 +14.8 +2.8
  Jan 04, 2016 308   @ NC Central W 72-68 77%     6 - 6 -2.9 -3.2 +0.4
  Jan 09, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro W 86-83 74%     7 - 6 2 - 0 -3.1 +8.2 -11.3
  Jan 11, 2016 304   VMI W 88-51 88%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +24.7 +13.5 +13.0
  Jan 14, 2016 224   @ Samford W 81-77 56%     9 - 6 4 - 0 +3.2 +3.1 -0.1
  Jan 16, 2016 106   @ Chattanooga L 84-94 26%     9 - 7 4 - 1 -2.5 +12.4 -14.5
  Jan 21, 2016 190   Mercer W 65-63 OT 70%     10 - 7 5 - 1 -2.7 -11.0 +8.3
  Jan 23, 2016 323   The Citadel W 101-92 OT 91%     11 - 7 6 - 1 -5.3 -8.4 +0.7
  Jan 28, 2016 187   @ Wofford L 73-87 47%     11 - 8 6 - 2 -12.6 -2.9 -9.4
  Jan 30, 2016 168   @ Furman L 70-74 43%     11 - 9 6 - 3 -1.6 +2.3 -4.2
  Feb 04, 2016 304   @ VMI W 71-60 75%     12 - 9 7 - 3 +4.6 -4.2 +8.9
  Feb 06, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro W 68-65 65%     13 - 9 8 - 3 -0.2 +0.0 +0.2
  Feb 11, 2016 224   Samford W 94-90 OT 76%     14 - 9 9 - 3 -2.6 +9.4 -12.4
  Feb 13, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 68-76 46%     14 - 10 9 - 4 -6.3 +1.3 -8.1
  Feb 15, 2016 194   Western Carolina W 83-77 71%     15 - 10 10 - 4 +1.0 +8.9 -7.8
  Feb 18, 2016 323   @ The Citadel W 67-51 81%     16 - 10 11 - 4 +7.5 -23.0 +28.2
  Feb 20, 2016 190   @ Mercer W 77-74 48%     17 - 10 12 - 4 +4.1 +11.1 -6.7
  Feb 25, 2016 168   Furman W 80-75 66%     18 - 10 13 - 4 +1.6 -0.8 +2.0
  Feb 27, 2016 187   Wofford W 71-66 69%     19 - 10 14 - 4 +0.6 -8.5 +8.9
  Mar 05, 2016 190   Mercer W 81-65 60%     20 - 10 +14.2 +0.9 +12.3
  Mar 06, 2016 168   Furman W 84-76 55%     21 - 10 +7.5 +13.7 -5.9
  Mar 07, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 67-73 35%     21 - 11 -1.4 -0.5 -1.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%